Subject: Re: SETI Scientist Predicts ET Test
From: pooua@aol.com (Richard Alexander)
Date: 12/08/2004, 01:56
Newsgroups: alt.sci.seti

"Rob Dekker" <rob@verific.com> wrote in message news:<92oSc.5481$as5.3141@newssvr29.news.prodigy.com>...

[snip]

For example, this Universe has at least 50billion galaxies with
each at least 200billion stars, of which ours is only one.
I cannot 'believe' that we would be the only one. That for me is unimaginable.

Argument from Incredulity.

The scientist in me would state that the likelyhood of being
alone is statistically insignificant.

In order to determine the likelihood of something, one would have to
know the how something would happen in the first place, and how likely
it is that such things would happen. We don't have a working process
that would result in life originating from unliving chemicals
responding only to natural forces. We don't know of any event in which
life arises from such combinations.

We can calculate the likelihood of amino acids forming, and even the
likelihood of proteins forming. But, no one has ever seen life arise
from amino acids or proteins without the involvement of other life at
some point.

So, there is no scientific basis for calculating a likelihood that
life has arisen elsewhere in the Universe.

My religious belief is that He would not put us in such a lonely place.

Adam and Eve were the only ones mentioned in Eden. The only reason we
have 6 billion people now is that Adam and Eve could reproduce, not
because God molded up a bunch more mud around the world.