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From: "Steven J. Powell" <sjpowell@access.digex.net>
Date: Wed, 08 Jan 1997 07:34:59 -0500
Fwd Date: Thu, 09 Jan 1997 12:41:35 -0500
Subject: Re: Drake's Equation

> Date: Tue, 07 Jan 1997 14:43:22 -0500
> From: Greg Sandow <GSANDOW@prodigy.net>
> To: UFO UpDates - Toronto <updates@globalserve.net>
> Subject: Re: UFO UpDate: Re: Drake's Equation

> >From: BOB SHELL <76750.2717@CompuServe.COM>

> > What about the idea that Earth was colonized by ETs millennia ago.
> > We see UFOs so often because they come from here and are no longer
> > extraterrestrial. We see them so seldom because they don't want to
> > be seen.
> A perfectly valid speculation, and yet another possibility that Sagan
> didn't consider when he "proved" that UFOs couldn't be visiting us in
> even a fraction of the numbers required to generate existing UFO
> reports.

Since there are no formal rules for speculating virtually any
speculation can be considered "valid," whatever that means.

> It's easy to come up with possibilities like this...which I'm not
> saying as a criticism of you, Bob! I'm saying it as a criticism of
> Sagan, who was monumentally unimaginative (not to say a little smug)
> when he came up with his quasi-scientific proof.

Sagan's 'proof' was based on a _lack_ of evidence and this is not an
uncommon method used in critical analysis.

Maybe Earth was colonized by ETs but until there's evidence its just
chatter.

--

Thanks, take care.
John.

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