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The UFO Phenomenon |
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"UFO Report - a statement by a person or persons judged responsible and psychologically normal by commonly accepted standards, describing a personal visual or instrumentally aided perception of an object or light in the sky or on the ground and / or its assumed physical effects, that does not specify any known physical event, object, or process or any psychological event or process [even after examination by qualified persons]..." Dr. J. Allen Hynek, Northwestern University, founder of the Center for UFO Studies
If the only strange things seen in the sky were a few oddly moving lights, or some specks glinting in the sun, there would be no UFO problem. But there have been many observations of these objects at close range by groups of credible witnesses. In addition, physical traces of various kinds have been left behind, and witnesses have experienced physical and medical effects, including lasting injury. Of all of initially reported sightings, between 5% and 30% (depending on the sample) remain unidentifiable after expert examination. These are the real UFOs, and they are the subject of this article. If you think that reports of UFOs remain unidentified because there is insufficient information to perform an identification, you will find it hard to explain how the Battelle Institute, under contract to the Air Force, in an analysis of nearly 4,000 reports (Blue Book Special Report 14), found that a "good" (detailed) report was twice as likely as a "poor" (sketchy) report to be classed as unidentified. This was confirmed by a later study on a completely separate set of cases performed by the French organization GEPAN (Unidentified Aerospace Phenomena Study Group of the French National Center for Space Studies). You will also find it hard to explain why the Battelle study found that the "knowns" share almost nothing in common with the "unknowns". If you think that reports of UFOs remain unidentified because the witnesses are perpetrating hoaxes, you should know that no major study, including the Air Force Project Blue Book and the Condon Committee, has ever found more than a few percent of initial reports to be hoaxes. If you think that only unreliable individuals are reporters of UFOs, then you are unaware of the tens of thousands of reports generated by responsible police officers, pilots, military personnel, and ordinary people who were going about their normal business in their normal environment when they were confronted with something they had never imagined or desired, and which, in a matter of minutes, left them confused, amazed, or terrified. There are many reliable UFO reports.
These reports are simply exemplars, and for each of them, a hundred or a thousand reliable reports could be found - and yet every researcher knows that only about 1 in 10 witnesses ever report their observations. Government documents reveal that the objects have penetrated nuclear weapon storage facilities, have interfered with the operation of nuclear missile installations, and have prevented interceptor aircraft from carrying out their missions, as revealed in documents obtained using the US Freedom Of Information Act. Clearly, this is serious business, reported by serious individuals from around the world, and from every walk of life, including police, military personnel, reputable (and even famous) scientists, technical personnel, housewives, workers, businesspeople, and ship captains. UFO sightings have happened throughout history, with variations in volume and geography, as "waves" and smaller "flaps". Until the 1950s, such observations were not interpreted in the same way as they are now. In 1897, sightings following the same general pattern as those today were called the work of a secretive inventor. In 1946, the Swedish government assumed the observations were tests of captured German missiles by the Russians. In the immediate post-1947 era, the sightings were considered to be secret US government aircraft. And, as pointed out by Jacques Vallee, the period from 1914 through 1946 was relatively barren of sightings, despite the presence of many social factors which proponents of psychological theories of UFO sightings use when discounting current observations. For example, 1938, the year of the famous Orson Welles War of the Worlds broadcast, and the years prior to and following that broadcast, were not years of noticeable UFO activity. UFOs have largely been investigated by dedicated amateurs, many with scientific or technical training. Reputable investigators work hard to identify a mundane source for a sighting, and they are frequently successful. Journals in the field and books by researchers often discuss the nature of the Identified Flying Object, and clearly separate these from cases where no valid explanation can be found. On the other hand, one must be careful not to distort the facts of the case in an effort to arrive at an explanation. For instance, Dr. Donald Menzel once attempted to explain the famous Papua, New Guinea observations by Rev. Gill as being the result of Gill having astigmatism, mistaking the planet Venus for multiple disk shaped objects, and Gill convincing the other witnesses that something strange was being seen (which he claimed they accepted because they were uneducated natives). Unfortunately for this explanation, Rev. Gill was wearing properly corrected glasses, had separately noted Venus before and during the encounter, the object was seen at times below the clouds and in the rain, and the other witnesses were not uneducated or easily manipulated, but were, in fact, the staff and residents of the mission. Others have tried to explain UFOs as manifestations of poorly understood physical phenomena, such as ball lightning, or well-understood phenomena such as mirages, ignoring most of what was known about such phenomena, most of what was known about UFOs, and most of the evidence in the cases involved in order to force-fit explanations. "Finally, in the matter of methodology a philosopher of science would find a serious operational and epistemological flaw: An hypothesis which covers everything covers nothing. Let us state this in the form of a UFO theorem: For any given reported UFO case, if taken by itself and without respect and regard to correlations with other truly puzzling reports in this and other countries, a possible natural, even though far-fetched, explanation can always be adduced. This is so if one operates solely on the hypothesis that all UFO reports, by the very nature of things as we know them, must result from well known and accepted causes. " - Dr. J. Allen Hynek, commenting on the report of the University of Colorado UFO Study, often referred to as "the Condon report". In any event, misperception explanations only go so far. Close observations are unlikely to be explained in this way. In fact, "explainers" are often reduced to calling the witness a liar in order to dispute such cases, but a motivation can seldom be found for a witness of responsibility to risk their reputation with a falsified close encounter UFO report. And in the case of physical and medical effects, the plausibility of misperception, hallucination, and hoax explanations are seriously disputable. What is known strongly indicates that the UFO is a physical object. Measurements and estimates indicate that the landed UFO is an object between 15 and 100 feet in diameter (most commonly under 30 feet) which weighs between 30 and 60 tons; it emits visible light energy when airborne and landed, ranging from a few kW to hundreds of mW. It emits invisible electromagnetic energy at the high frequency end of the spectrum, including UV and soft x-rays - as shown by the many cases of skinburn and eye irritation, some reliable photographs, and a few cases of radiation detection. It occasionally emits harder radiation, which have led to symptoms of radiation sickness in witnesses who have closely approached the objects, and radiation traces at landing sites. In flight, the UFO has no aerodynamic characteristics. It has no wings or visible propulsion systems, and, with few exceptions, makes no more than a soft humming or whining sound. In darkness, it is frequently observed to emit a colored luminosity which is both global and localized. It usually emits that luminosity in a shape which depends on its current maneuver. Though sometimes described as "flames", close observations have shown that this luminosity does not have a high temperature, and it probably represents an ionization of the local atmosphere similar to what occurs in a neon light. It is this lighting which allows estimation of energy output levels for UFOs. Most UFOs are symmetrical objects with spherical, lenticular, elliptical, or cylindrical shapes. Some UFOs have a equatorial ring and are referred to as having a "Saturn" shape. There are also flat bottomed disks and disks with domes. Some UFOs are very small (inches to feet) and some are very large (hundreds of feet). All of these forms have common flight characteristics. UFOs are capable of incredible speeds. Reliable radar observations (in some cases with multiple sets at multiple frequencies) have documented speeds of thousands of miles per hour. High speeds alone do not distinguish the UFO, since such objects as meteors can attain similar speeds. But profiles of speed and altitude, based on radar measurements and backed up by visual observations, indicate that UFOs can and do undergo radical changes in both speed and altitude simultaneously. Other observations indicate a disregard for normal orientations, where the UFO is seen to hover on edge, flip upside down, or spin while hovering. A particularly characteristic maneuver is the "falling leaf", where the object swings like a pendulum from side to side while descending. UFO behavior also indicates curiosity about human vehicles and facilities. UFOs do have solid surfaces, as has been shown by reports where witnesses have struck the objects with hands, rocks, or bullets. UFOs do land, and when they do so, they sometimes simply hover at a very low altitude, producing swirled grass, heat-damaged soil, subsoil burning of plant root systems, and unusual effects on the exposed plants (usually changes in the chlorophyll). In other cases, they extend landing gear of some sort, usually legs with footpads. It is these landing gear which have left marks amenable to pressure analysis, and from which we have been able to estimate the possible weight and density of the UFO. While no material of certifiable extraterrestrial origin has yet been recovered, unusual materials have been obtained from UFO sighting locations, and it should be realized that few resources are available for the analysis of physical traces, due to the unfunded nature of most UFO research. In short, there is significant evidence that UFOs are a phenomenon which should be of interest to science. Once the distraction of minor and low reliability cases are set aside, there is a large unexplained residue which is not addressed by mundane explanation. Does it represent a manifestation of life from beyond the Earth? At this point, no one knows for sure. But it is worth finding out. Some further reading can be found on the UFO books page.
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Copyright © 2004 by Mark
Cashman (unless otherwise indicated), All Rights Reserved
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